Premier League Gambling Tips

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After the craziest sports year of my lifetime, Thanksgiving weekend is set to be as chock full of action as it ever was, as college basketball, college football, the NFL, and European soccer are all going down this weekend.

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Yes, this is a weekend for American football, but there’s still plenty of money to be made on the other side of the pond, so let’s dive into the picks.

Liverpool -1 vs Brighton: Saturday, November 28 at 7:30 a.m.

Following the Reds’ decisive victory of Leicester City last week, Jurgen Klopp wasted no time taking the offensive again the fixture congestion, suggesting that they will be heading into this weekend’s game against Brighton “shaking”.

And while that may be true, the simple fact remains that, outside of Bayern Munich, Liverpool are perhaps the best team in the world right now.

With world-class midfield Thiago set to rejoin the starting lineup and Diogo Jota scoring goals for fun, I think the Reds will have enough here to sweep aside Brighton, who have just one win in their last five Premier League matches.

Manchester City -2 vs Burnley: Saturday, November 28 at 10 a.m.

Put simply: Man City simply isn’t right this year. In the midst of their worst start under Pep Guardiola, City currently sit in 13th place with just 12 points and 10 goals after nine games.

But City, regardless of their form, historically DOMINATE Burnley, having defeated Burnley in six straight matchups and outscoring Sean Dyche’s men by a score of 23-1. If City can’t smash Burnley here, their season is likely cooked, so look for a performance from the Citizens.

Southampton +1/2 vs Manchester United: Sunday, November 29 at 9 a.m.

I could not care less how Manchester United looked during the week as this is what they’ve seemingly been doing this year: performing in the Champions League while looking wildly average in the Premier League. Combine that with Southampton’s impressive form — they currently sit fifth in the table with 17 points, four more than Manchester united — and I think the Saints have enough here to nick at least a point off Man United.

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Premier League Odds Tips

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After another international break we can thankfully get back to the important business of Premier League football. This week I am taking on the Rollover Correct Score Pick 6 which currently has a jackpot of £1,038,000 and counting and features two Championship games in addition to four from the top flight. Will the high scoring madness in the opening weeks lead us to a share of the huge jackpot? Let’s hope so. Here are my Premier League betting tips for this week, read them and please join my Syndicate afterwards.

Premier League betting tips

Middlesbrough vs. Reading

Saturday, 15:00

We’re heading away from the Premier League and down to the Championship for the opening leg of our betting tips, with second-placed Reading taking on mid-table Middlesbrough.

I couldn’t believe my eyes when I saw the odds on this one, with Middlesbrough only marginally odds against and big favourites to beat a Reading side who have taken maximum points from their opening four games, whilst only conceding a single goal.

Middlesbrough, on the other hand, have earnt five points with a win, two draws, four goals scored and four conceded. These are exactly the sort of stats you’d expect to see from a side managed by Neil Warnock and who have recently been coached by Tony Pulis.

It’s not beyond the realms of possibility that Boro grind out a 1-0 win with wily Warnock in charge but, assuming the odds divert a load of the units towards the home side, I’d rather stand apart from the crowd and back the other way.

Neither side concede many but I think Middlesbrough’s threat is much less. I’ll take the away side to win to nil.

Selections: 0-1, 0-2

Birmingham vs. Sheffield Wednesday

Saturday, 15:00

Eight games played between these two so far with five draws between them. Were it not for Wednesday’s 12 point deduction, the pair would be separated by a single point in the table.

Birmingham have scored three and conceded just two. Sheffield Wednesday have similar stats with three scored and three conceded. A match like this is extremely tough to have an opinion on other than to say it will low-scoring and settled by either a single goal either way or a draw, so I’ll perm those selections and just hope that one of them doesn’t suddenly start banging the goals in for fun.

Selections: 0-0, 1-1, 1-0, 0-1

Newcastle United vs. Manchester United

Saturday, 20:00

How will Manchester United recover from their 6-1 humiliation at the hands of Tottenham before the international break? Ole Gunnar Solsjkaer’s side have conceded an absurd 11 goals in their opening three matches, with at least two per game. That is the big question facing us in our Premier League predictions.

Newcastle, on the other hand, have scored six goals in four games and new boy Callum Wilson has taken to his new surroundings like a duck to water, netting four of them. My first conclusion, therefore, is that a catastrophic United rearguard are unlikely to keep a clean sheet.

I would expect Alex Telles and Edinson Cavani to have a positive impact at both ends of the pitch for United but whether they will be plunged immediately into action here is yet to be seen. Early season form can be misleading and, despite positive signs for Newcastle as well as United being a shambles, The Red Devils remain the better side player for player.

Typically for this season, I would expect this to be a high-scoring affair so I’m going to bank on United scoring at least three goals against a Newcastle defence who shipped that many to Brighton and haven’t yet kept a clean sheet, with the only question mark surrounding how many they can fire back against hapless Harry Maguire and Co.

Selections: 1-3, 2-3, AOD, AOA

Crystal Palace vs. Brighton & Hove Albion

Sunday, 14:00

A derby game that tends to be tight between two fairly evenly matched sides. Only two of the last nine encounters between Palace and Brighton have been decided by more than a single goal, with that run evenly divided with three wins per side and three draws. Whether that closeness is maintained without fans in attendance is yet to be seen.

Palace started the season off brightly with wins against Southampton and Manchester United, though the latter victory is looking less impressive with each passing game that United play, but were then undone by Everton and Chelsea.

The 4-0 drubbing by Frank Lampard’s side before the international break will certainly be a concern for Roy Hodgson though, with the Eagles putting in a wretched display in which they only had 29% of the possession and no shots on target.

Brighton have faced three of the same teams as Palace in their opening run, with defeats to Everton, Chelsea and Manchester United sandwiching a win over Newcastle, and both sides have navigated a tough start in the Premier League fixtures. They conceded ten goals in those losses but have also scored eight, meaning they have scored and conceded over two a game on average so far.

It should be a close game again assuming that Roy Hodgson keeps his cautionary tactics, yet, with Palace still missing several first choice defenders but looking a greater attacking threat this season, there should also be goals. I’m going to perm a few of the close results possibly just favouring Palace.

Selections: 1-1, 2-1, 2-0

Tottenham Hotspur vs. West Ham

Sunday, 16:30

You know the world is burning when a Jose Mourinho side are the great entertainers of the Premier League. 12 goals in their opening four fixtures, including six against Mourinho’s old side United, means that nobody has scored more than Tottenham so far with only Aston Villa (11 in 3) scoring at a greater rate.

They face a West Ham side who are clearly going to be a nightmare to forecast this season. Losses to Newcastle and Arsenal in their opening two fixtures suggested a club who might struggle to stay in the division. Yet, 4-0 and 3-0 wins over Wolves and Leicester respectively in their next two games have made a mockery of those fears.

It’s a battle between two clubs who absolutely love a meltdown and, on their day, I wouldn’t put it past either to embarrass themselves here. However, I have been mightily impressed with Tottenham’s summer business and think a front line of Harry Kane, Heung-Min Son and Gareth Bale, who could make his debut here, is arguably the best in the division.

For that reason, I’m going to go out on a limb and back Tottenham to win by ‘any other’ scoreline, meaning they need to net four or more. Be sure to check my Twitter feed for expletives when Jarrod Bowen nets the only goal of the game in a 1-0 West Ham win.

Selection: AOH

Leeds vs. Wolves

Monday, 20:00

After a madcap opening two games in which they lost and won 4-3 in consecutive weeks, Leeds seem to have steadied down a bit since then, earning a 1-0 win over Sheffield United and a very credible 1-1 draw with Manchester City.

Wolves got back to winning ways with a 1-0 win over Fulham after a pair of heavy defeats to West Ham and Manchester City in which they uncharacteristically conceded seven goals. I don’t think Nuno Espirito Santo’s men have fully clicked into gear yet this season. They certainly need to pick up their goalscoring rate, with only the three sides currently occupying the relegation zone having scored less. Santo will also be unhappy with how many goals they have conceded.

Premier League Teams

I fancy Leeds to win this one, although say that with the caveat that I still think that, over the course of a brutal season, Leeds will tire and eventually struggle. However, while the energy remains in the legs, Leeds are a threat to anyone as they have already proved against Liverpool and City.

For me it’s Leeds to win by a single goal here.

Selections: 2-1

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